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Tuesday, April 10, 2012

2012 MLB Preview: Predictions

It's a little late but I've decided to publish my preseason predictions anyway.

American League
East
New York 96 66 Have a solid rotation to match formidable offense
Tampa Bay 92 70 Maybe the best rotation in baseball
Boston 87 75 Lack of depth will cost them
Toronto 85 77 Still building but no playoffs in this division
Baltimore 68 94 Future is bright but rotation is worst in AL
Central
Detroit 91 71 Will lead the league in runs scored, errors
Cleveland 80 82 Need one more starter to be a factor
Chicago 77 85 Rios, Dunn rebound but Peavy, bullpen falter
Kansas City 76 86 Still waiting on young pitching to make impact
Minnesota 62 100 Questions about Mauer, Morneau, Baker linger
West
Texas 95 67 Most well rounded team in AL
LAA 89 73 Still have problems at LF, 3B, C
Seattle 73 89 Back end of rotation no match for AL offenses
Oakland 70 92 Cespedes and Weeks are good but not enough
National League
East
Atlanta 87 75 Heyward bounceback, trade of Lowe is enough
Philadelphia 86 76 Injuries to Howard, Utley hold team back
Miami 84 78 Poor outfield defense really hurts in new park
Washington 82 80 Too many questions on offense
New York 75 87 Not as bad as many expected
Central
Milwaukee 88 74 Greinke, Gallardo, Marcum combine for 54 wins
Cincinnati 87 75 Votto, Bruce lead league in teammate HR
St. Louis 84 78 Berkman, Beltran not as good as 2011
Pittsburgh 76 86 Deadline deals prevent team from reaching .500
Chicago 69 93 Theo's first year will be his worst
Houston 50 112 Have questions everywhere except 2B, LF
West
San Francisco 91 71 Great pitching and good offense takes division
Arizona 90 72 Upton, Young become top NL outfield duo
Colorado 78 84 Tulo accumulates more WAR than any 2 'mates
Los Angeles 77 85 Disgruntled Ethier, Kemp regression hurt team 
San Diego 75 87 Hang tough thanks to home field advantage
Can these guys do it again? 


The Yankees will have the best record in baseball and meet the winner of the Angels and Rays in the divisional series.  Texas will play the Tigers in what's sure to be a high scoring match-up.  In the end I predict Yankees and Rangers in the ALCS with the Rangers advancing for the third straight year.

The National League won't feature any teams that will threaten to win 100 games but it will be an exciting season with several teams bunched up within just a few games of each other.  The Braves will squeak by and win the NL East and face Milwaukee in the divisional round.  Arizona and Cincinnati will play the Wild Card game with the winner advancing to face the Giants.  I like Arizona and Milwaukee in the NLCS with Arizona advancing to the World Series.

Texas will find that the third time's the charm and win it all this time.

AL MVP
1. Miguel Cabrera, Det
2. Adrian Gonzalez, Bos
3. Evan Longoria, TB

AL Cy Young
1. Dan Haren, LAA
2. David Price, TB
3. Jon Lester, Bos

AL Rookie of the Year
1. Yu Darvish, Tex
2. Matt Moore, TB
3. Yoenis Cespedes, Oak

NL MVP
1. Justin Upton, Arz
2. Troy Tulowitzki, Col
3. Joey Votto, Cin

NL Cy Young
1. Cliff Lee, Phi
2. Zack Greinke, Mil
3. Tommy Hanson, Atl

NL Rookie of the Year
1. Zack Cozart, Cin
2. Devin Mesoraco, Cin
3. Yonder Alonso, SD
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