Good morning football fans, college and pro alike. The Bears record is good, but are they really that good? Today is a big test against the new "Human Hilight Film", Mike Vick.
Meanwhile, there were a few almost upsets over the weekend in college football, but most of the teams who were favored in the polls found a way to win.
Since it's getting down to crunch time and I've been inconsistent (as usual) on keeping you all updated, I will lay out my ESPN-style projections for this week's BCS moves.
1. Oregon - They were down at the half against Arizona, but then their lethal offense woke up and dominated the 'Cats 34-10 in the 2nd half. No change here, and only the Civil War can stop them from a National Title shot now.
2. Auburn - I think most people were on board with the Alabama upset, especially after jumping out to a 24-0 lead in the first half. However, Cam Newton settled in and continued his Heisman campaign to bring the Tigers back to a 28-27 lead over the Tide. It wasn't over until Bama's QB McElroy was concussed on a 4th quarter drive that looked promising at the time. Can the Tigers re-beat South Carolina? It's always harder to get the 2nd win.
3. TCU - This game wasn't supposed to be close, and it wasn't. The only real drama came when TCU's starting QB went down in the 2nd quarter with an elbow injury. His backup passed for 54 yds and 1 TD, and ran for another 30 yds and a TD. The Frogs cruised from there, and locked up the #3 spot in the BCS because the old #4 Boise State Broncos lost to Nevada due to some terrible place kicking. If either #1 or 2 falls next week, TCU could live a dream come true.
4. Stanford - This could be a coin flip for spots 4 & 5 in the BCS. Stanford has had the edge for a few weeks, and there's no reason to drop them, so I think they stay ahead of the Badgers for #4. The Cardinal rolled Oregon State to a 38-0 shutout which isn't promising for the Beavers hopes next week against #1 Oregon. In all likelihood, the Cardinal goes on to Pasadena for the Rose Bowl.
5. Wisconsin - This team looked a bit rough at times during the start of the 2010 season. The loss to Mich State early in conference play might have been a blessing in disguise as the Badgers went on to win 7 straight and saw all the Big Ten teams ahead of them lose later in the season (including the #1 Buckeyes at their own hands). This means the 3-way tie in the Big Ten will likely end with Wisconsin going to face Stanford in the Rose Bowl.
6. Ohio State - Beat Michigan for the 7th straight time. Beat them easily. Denard "Shoelaces" Robinson had under 200 yards of total offense and didn't score. The polls worked themselves out correctly here as Ohio State has a good football team, but the one team that bested them (Wisconsin) remains 1 spot ahead in the polls. The Buckeyes are almost assured an at-large BCS game due to their ranking and the teams ahead.
7. Michigan State - 3 Big Ten teams in a row validates the parity in the Conference this year. Its gonna be pretty frustrating for the Spartans to play in the Capital One Bowl while sitting in the Top 10...and possibly even the Top 5 with a few games remaining. They'll still draw a solid Alabama or LSU, but they were so close to BCS glory this year.
8. Arkansas - Ryan Mallet was impressive again as the Razorbacks won the Battle for the Golden Boot over LSU. The Tigers had found a way to eke out victory after victory this year, and they even had a shot to sneak into the BCS Title game without even winning their conference. Alas, just when I thought they might be legit, the Hogs ran and passed their way over Les Miles and the Bayou Bengals. Can anyone tell me how he got the nickname "Mad Hatter"?
9. Oklahoma - Sooners won the Battle of Bedlam shootout to basically cement themselves in the Big XII Championship game next week against my 'Skers. The South half of the conference ended in a 3-way tie, much like the Big Ten. In face, the Big XII South has ended tied once before with Oklahoma, Texas, and Texas Tech about 2 or 3 years ago. Like most other conferences, the "winner" is the team ranked highest in BCS. Since the Sooners just knocked off the Cowboys, they'll obviously jump them. And since A&M was so far behind and didn't look outstanding in their victory over rival Texas, they won't challenge for this spot. It seems fitting that as Nebraska leaves the Big XII (formerly Big 8), it should end versus the biggest rival the school has ever faced in the Oklahoma Sooners. Certainly the Sooners also have the Red River Shootout with Texas, but for the Cornhuskers, there is no bigger test.
10. LSU - Maybe the Tigers deserve this spot, and maybe they don't. Based on last week's polls, it's either put LSU or Boise here for their loss, or jump Missouri 4 spots to #10, and I do not believe Missouri is a #10. In fact, Missouri shouldn't be ahead of Nebraska in the current poll since the Huskers beat them, and our less-than-stellar backup QBs played more than half the game. In any case, the SEC is always strong, so might as well give them one more team in the Top 10.
11. Missouri
12. Nebraska
13. Boise State
14. Virginia Tech
15. Texas A&M
16. Oklahoma State
17. Nevada
18. South Carolina
19. Alabama
20. Florida State
BCS Bowl Projections
National Championship - Glendale, AZ - Jan. 10
Oregon vs. Auburn
(no more upsets)
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA - Jan. 1
Stanford vs. Wisconsin
(both are done and this is obvious)
Tostitos Fiesta Bowl - Glendale, AZ - Jan. 1
Nebraska (please?) vs. West Virginia (assuming S. Florida beats Conn.)
Discover Orange Bowl - Miami, FL - Jan. 3
Virginia Tech vs. Arkansas
Allstate Sugar Bowl - New Orleans, LA - Jan. 4
TCU vs. Ohio State
The rules for selecting the at-large teams are not so easy to understand, but I know that the Rose Bowl gets 1st pick since they lose Oregon to the National Championship. Due to tradition, they will gladly take Stanford to keep it Pac-10 v. Big Ten. The Sugar Bowl gets the 2nd pick since they lose Auburn. I am guessing they'll take TCU. This leaves Fiesta, Orange, and Sugar with open slots. For 2011, Sugar gets the first pick of remaining at-larges and automatics. I don't think they want West Virginia (or Connecticut), so they'll probably take Ohio State or Arkansas. Orange gets the next pick and will again likely take the remaining team from Ohio State and Arkansas. That leaves the final open slot to go to the automatic qualifier from the Big East. Make sense? Hope so, cuz I'm not even sure.
Good luck, and go Skers!
-ODB
Sunday, November 28, 2010
Sunday, November 14, 2010
Not the BCS - Nov 14
...and we're back.
As the Husker game approached last night, there was a lot of reason to be excited. Auburn was in a fight with Georgia, and Penn State had jumped out to an early lead on Ohio State. Either upset would surely move my beloved Skers up a spot in the polls.
Alas, the upsets didn't hold and there is little movement in my version of the BCS. Feast your eyes....
1. Oregon - Really wish Cal had something for them in the 4th quarter. All the Golden Bears needed was a FG to steal the victory, but it wasn't to be. Now the Ducks get a bye week before facing Arizona (please, upset, please) and then finish with the Civil War rivalry game at Oregon State.
2. Auburn - Their win was maybe a little more impressive than Oregon's, but with all the controversy around Cam Newton, I imagine this whole season will eventually get wiped off the map, including a potential Championship and Heisman Trophy (a la Reggie Bush). Maybe locking up the SEC West will make them a little lazy facing Alabama in 2 weeks.
3. Boise State - Jumps back ahead of TCU in my mind after the Horned Frogs struggled this week. This probably won't happen in the real BCS, but all the Broncos on the blue field can do is keep winning and hope for help from above...in the polls I mean.
4. TCU - Another team that started Saturday a little sloppy but managed to get it together by halftime. Then San Diego State came storming back in the 2nd half, outscoring TCU 21-6 and almost pulling off a major upset and comeback victory. TCU had a comfortable margin on Boise in the BCS and will probably stay #3.
5. LSU - Played UL-Monroe or Lafayette or something. Don't get me wrong, the Huskers play these kind of teams too, but we do it at the beginning of the year as a warm-up. Frustrating to see SEC teams doing it this late in the season (like Auburn last week) and basically taking it as a 'bye' week to get ready for the last few games. I had hopes for Mississippi to give LSU a run next week, but the Rebs looked terrible against Tennessee yesterday. Only Arkansas can wreck LSU's BCS hopes now.
6. Wisconsin - 83 points against Indiana is a lot...especially on the road. I had Nebraska here previously, but 2 underwhelming victories the past 2 weeks are cause to give the Badgers the spot. They still have 2 tough Big Ten opponents left with the hilight reel Michigan and this week's upset special Northwestern. There's still hope for Husker fans.
7. Nebraska - As mentioned, we haven't been impressive the last 2 weeks. A botched fake PAT against Iowa State and some stout defense against Kansas keep us with 1 loss and in the top 10. I double Nebraska will get back to 7 unless there are some other surprise drops. Perhaps the team I've got below us will dip enough to make a difference. TAMU next week could be trouble.
8. Stanford - Looked sloppy against Arizona State and didn't put it away until 5 minutes left in the game. They were 6 in the real BCS, and look for them to drop a spot after that performance. I doubt they'll fall 2 to 8th as I have them, but I've had them here previously, so I don't feel bad.
9. Alabama - Looked good against Mississippi State. They get that pseudo-bye week against Georgia State next week in preparation for Auburn. I guess I'm suddenly okay with this type of scheduling so hopefully Bama brings it against the Tigers. The Tide is still fighting for an at-large BCS spot, but need help in the form of Arkansas beating LSU if they're gonna get it.
10. Ohio State - After giving up 2 quick scores to Penn State, it looked like the Buckeyes were in trouble, but then the defense turned it on, and they rolled the Fighting JoPa's the rest of the way. They still have to battle the recently embarassed Iowa Hawkeyes and then finish up with the used-to-be-a-rivarly Michigan Wolverines. Buckeyes have owned Michigan for a few years now, so Iowa is the only real challenge left. The Buckeyes are also trying to get one of the BCS at-large bids, but could vault into the Rose Bowl if Wisconsin gets upset.
In my mind, the BCS Games will likely play out as follows:
Championship
TCU v. Oregon
Sugar
Alabama v. Boise State
Orange
Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh
Fiesta
Nebraska v. Auburn
Rose
Stanford v. Wisconsin
As the Husker game approached last night, there was a lot of reason to be excited. Auburn was in a fight with Georgia, and Penn State had jumped out to an early lead on Ohio State. Either upset would surely move my beloved Skers up a spot in the polls.
Alas, the upsets didn't hold and there is little movement in my version of the BCS. Feast your eyes....
1. Oregon - Really wish Cal had something for them in the 4th quarter. All the Golden Bears needed was a FG to steal the victory, but it wasn't to be. Now the Ducks get a bye week before facing Arizona (please, upset, please) and then finish with the Civil War rivalry game at Oregon State.
2. Auburn - Their win was maybe a little more impressive than Oregon's, but with all the controversy around Cam Newton, I imagine this whole season will eventually get wiped off the map, including a potential Championship and Heisman Trophy (a la Reggie Bush). Maybe locking up the SEC West will make them a little lazy facing Alabama in 2 weeks.
3. Boise State - Jumps back ahead of TCU in my mind after the Horned Frogs struggled this week. This probably won't happen in the real BCS, but all the Broncos on the blue field can do is keep winning and hope for help from above...in the polls I mean.
4. TCU - Another team that started Saturday a little sloppy but managed to get it together by halftime. Then San Diego State came storming back in the 2nd half, outscoring TCU 21-6 and almost pulling off a major upset and comeback victory. TCU had a comfortable margin on Boise in the BCS and will probably stay #3.
5. LSU - Played UL-Monroe or Lafayette or something. Don't get me wrong, the Huskers play these kind of teams too, but we do it at the beginning of the year as a warm-up. Frustrating to see SEC teams doing it this late in the season (like Auburn last week) and basically taking it as a 'bye' week to get ready for the last few games. I had hopes for Mississippi to give LSU a run next week, but the Rebs looked terrible against Tennessee yesterday. Only Arkansas can wreck LSU's BCS hopes now.
6. Wisconsin - 83 points against Indiana is a lot...especially on the road. I had Nebraska here previously, but 2 underwhelming victories the past 2 weeks are cause to give the Badgers the spot. They still have 2 tough Big Ten opponents left with the hilight reel Michigan and this week's upset special Northwestern. There's still hope for Husker fans.
7. Nebraska - As mentioned, we haven't been impressive the last 2 weeks. A botched fake PAT against Iowa State and some stout defense against Kansas keep us with 1 loss and in the top 10. I double Nebraska will get back to 7 unless there are some other surprise drops. Perhaps the team I've got below us will dip enough to make a difference. TAMU next week could be trouble.
8. Stanford - Looked sloppy against Arizona State and didn't put it away until 5 minutes left in the game. They were 6 in the real BCS, and look for them to drop a spot after that performance. I doubt they'll fall 2 to 8th as I have them, but I've had them here previously, so I don't feel bad.
9. Alabama - Looked good against Mississippi State. They get that pseudo-bye week against Georgia State next week in preparation for Auburn. I guess I'm suddenly okay with this type of scheduling so hopefully Bama brings it against the Tigers. The Tide is still fighting for an at-large BCS spot, but need help in the form of Arkansas beating LSU if they're gonna get it.
10. Ohio State - After giving up 2 quick scores to Penn State, it looked like the Buckeyes were in trouble, but then the defense turned it on, and they rolled the Fighting JoPa's the rest of the way. They still have to battle the recently embarassed Iowa Hawkeyes and then finish up with the used-to-be-a-rivarly Michigan Wolverines. Buckeyes have owned Michigan for a few years now, so Iowa is the only real challenge left. The Buckeyes are also trying to get one of the BCS at-large bids, but could vault into the Rose Bowl if Wisconsin gets upset.
In my mind, the BCS Games will likely play out as follows:
Championship
TCU v. Oregon
Sugar
Alabama v. Boise State
Orange
Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh
Fiesta
Nebraska v. Auburn
Rose
Stanford v. Wisconsin
Saturday, November 6, 2010
Not the BCS - Nov 6
The games that will affect my Top 10 are all over for the week. Though Nebraska looked like doo doo in the win, they still won. That wasn't the case for a few others in the last Top 10, so that's good.
I haven't done this every week, but I'm still watching college football every week, and I feel pretty good about my current Top 10.
Here we go...
1. Oregon - Played a harder team than Auburn, and haven't really been challenged other than Arizon State at the start of the season.
2. Auburn - Don't really care about the possible recruiting violations...I'm sure many others are doing it. But, the SEC is a bit weaker than usual this year, it seems.
3. TCU - Dominated Utah today, and Utah had some respect coming in to the game. Not much respected for the Utes anymore. Watch for them to drop 10+ spots tomorrow.
4. Boise State - Sadly, even I cannot justify keeping them in the Top 3. Power conference will always get the nod, and TCU looks ridiculously good.
5. LSU - I kinda hate putting the Tigers this high. Les Miles almost botched a few games this year with bad clock management, but they still have only 1 loss.
6. Nebraska - Sorry, this may be too high for some of you, but when we have everyone healthy, we look much more like the team that beat the snot out of Missouri.
7. Wisconsin - Struggled early against Purdue before turning it on. Probably the best team in the Big Ten because they beat Ohio State.
8. Stanford - Your only loss is to the #1 Ducks...good enough for me. Also, a solid victory today vs. another tough Pac-10 opponent.
9. Alabama - Still a tough team. If all goes well, they beat Auburn in the Iron Bowl to keep the slim Husker shot at a title alive.
10. Ohio State - Bye week this week means not much to judge, but again, only 1 loss looks good at this point in the season.
I'll try to do this again next week so there aren't gaps in the rankings.
I haven't done this every week, but I'm still watching college football every week, and I feel pretty good about my current Top 10.
Here we go...
1. Oregon - Played a harder team than Auburn, and haven't really been challenged other than Arizon State at the start of the season.
2. Auburn - Don't really care about the possible recruiting violations...I'm sure many others are doing it. But, the SEC is a bit weaker than usual this year, it seems.
3. TCU - Dominated Utah today, and Utah had some respect coming in to the game. Not much respected for the Utes anymore. Watch for them to drop 10+ spots tomorrow.
4. Boise State - Sadly, even I cannot justify keeping them in the Top 3. Power conference will always get the nod, and TCU looks ridiculously good.
5. LSU - I kinda hate putting the Tigers this high. Les Miles almost botched a few games this year with bad clock management, but they still have only 1 loss.
6. Nebraska - Sorry, this may be too high for some of you, but when we have everyone healthy, we look much more like the team that beat the snot out of Missouri.
7. Wisconsin - Struggled early against Purdue before turning it on. Probably the best team in the Big Ten because they beat Ohio State.
8. Stanford - Your only loss is to the #1 Ducks...good enough for me. Also, a solid victory today vs. another tough Pac-10 opponent.
9. Alabama - Still a tough team. If all goes well, they beat Auburn in the Iron Bowl to keep the slim Husker shot at a title alive.
10. Ohio State - Bye week this week means not much to judge, but again, only 1 loss looks good at this point in the season.
I'll try to do this again next week so there aren't gaps in the rankings.
Monday, October 11, 2010
How to fix the Braves (and my heart)
I came here to put up a blog post, hoping to try and renew interest in the site and I see that Taege beat me by a whole day. Good work!
Ok, by now I'm sure everyone's seen the epic collapse the Braves had in Game 3 of the NLDS. I envy all of you in that you could at least turn the channel. I was in right field in the middle deck about 30 feet away from the foul poul (on the fair side). In fact, replay shows I was the first person to stand up on Hinske's dramatic 8th inning homerun.
Even if the Braves are to recover and advance to the NLCS it's no secret the team went all-in for Bobby. When the year ends the Braves will have several holes in the lineup and one in the dugout.
Here's a look at what's returning:
Catcher
Starter: Brian McCann L/R $6.5 million
Backup: David Ross R/R $1.625 million
The catchers are set and really to go along with the NLs best you get the best backup in the league. Really, Ross should actually play more.
Infield
1b: Freddie Freeman L/L ~$0.400 million
2b: Martin Prado R/R arbitration eligible. Expect about $1.25 million
3b: Chipper Jones B/R $13 million
SS: Alex Gonzalez R/R (option will likely be picked up) $2.5 million
I'm not a huge fan of the infield but if Chipper is back next year then it will be fine. The biggest issue with the infield this season is that injuries caused the team to be stretched too thin. Infante is a great utility player and will do a fine job filling in when Prado and Chipper need days off.
Outfield
LF:
CF:
RF: Jason Heyward L/L ~$0.400 million
As you can see the outfield is a mess. Heyward's good but he can't cover that much ground. Maybe they can clone him?
Bench
Omar Infante UT B/R $2.5 million - Two words: All Star
Nate McLouth CF L/L $6.5 million - Another player who had a horrible year. He's probably lost his starting job permanently but he'd make a nifty bench guy for a year.
Matt Diaz OF R/R- only after renegotiating his contract. He's due for a raise in arbitration but no way that happens. He'll probably settle for something around $2 million.
Free Agents: Rick Ankiel, Brooks Conrad (~$.4M), Troy Glaus(~$2M), Eric Hinske($1M), Derrek Lee
Declining Arbitration: Melky Cabrera
Starting Pitching
1. Tim Hudson R $9 million
2. Tommy Hanson R ~$0.500 million
3. Derek Lowe R $15 million
4. Jair Jurrjens R arbitration eligible. I'm guessing ~$3.75 million
5. Mike Minor L ~$0.4 million
Bullpen
Kenshin Kawakami R $6.67 million
Stephen Marek $0.4 million
Michael Dunn L $0.5 million
Brandon Beachy R $0.5 million
Peter Moylan R arb. eligible ~$2.5 million
Johnny Venters L $0.5 million
Closer: Craig Kimbrel R $0.4 million
Free agents: Kyle Farnsworth, Takashi Saito ($3.2M), Billy Wagner ($7M)
Decline Arb: Eric O'Flaherty, Scott Proctor
Money spent: $77 million
Available Somewhere between $8-15 million
Here's what I'd do if I was in Frank Wren's shoes:
1. Sign Carl Crawford. Just do it. The Braves biggest need is a good defensive center fielder. It's likely he'll require 5 years at $15 per but I think he's worth it.
2. Trade for a left fielder. Packaging Mike Minor with Nate McLouth for a LF would probably allow the Braves to get someone like Matt Kemp or Andre Ethier from the Dodgers.
I know this is just a pipe dream but by doing this the Braves would shore up their outfield defense, add speed and power to a team that has neither, and really lose nothing at the major league level. The only left to do is to find another infielder who can play a mean shortstop. Adam Everett would be sweet and would likely only cost about $600,000.
Ok, by now I'm sure everyone's seen the epic collapse the Braves had in Game 3 of the NLDS. I envy all of you in that you could at least turn the channel. I was in right field in the middle deck about 30 feet away from the foul poul (on the fair side). In fact, replay shows I was the first person to stand up on Hinske's dramatic 8th inning homerun.
Even if the Braves are to recover and advance to the NLCS it's no secret the team went all-in for Bobby. When the year ends the Braves will have several holes in the lineup and one in the dugout.
Here's a look at what's returning:
Catcher
Starter: Brian McCann L/R $6.5 million
Backup: David Ross R/R $1.625 million
The catchers are set and really to go along with the NLs best you get the best backup in the league. Really, Ross should actually play more.
Infield
1b: Freddie Freeman L/L ~$0.400 million
2b: Martin Prado R/R arbitration eligible. Expect about $1.25 million
3b: Chipper Jones B/R $13 million
SS: Alex Gonzalez R/R (option will likely be picked up) $2.5 million
I'm not a huge fan of the infield but if Chipper is back next year then it will be fine. The biggest issue with the infield this season is that injuries caused the team to be stretched too thin. Infante is a great utility player and will do a fine job filling in when Prado and Chipper need days off.
Outfield
LF:
CF:
RF: Jason Heyward L/L ~$0.400 million
As you can see the outfield is a mess. Heyward's good but he can't cover that much ground. Maybe they can clone him?
Bench
Omar Infante UT B/R $2.5 million - Two words: All Star
Nate McLouth CF L/L $6.5 million - Another player who had a horrible year. He's probably lost his starting job permanently but he'd make a nifty bench guy for a year.
Matt Diaz OF R/R- only after renegotiating his contract. He's due for a raise in arbitration but no way that happens. He'll probably settle for something around $2 million.
Free Agents: Rick Ankiel, Brooks Conrad (~$.4M), Troy Glaus(~$2M), Eric Hinske($1M), Derrek Lee
Declining Arbitration: Melky Cabrera
Starting Pitching
1. Tim Hudson R $9 million
2. Tommy Hanson R ~$0.500 million
3. Derek Lowe R $15 million
4. Jair Jurrjens R arbitration eligible. I'm guessing ~$3.75 million
5. Mike Minor L ~$0.4 million
Bullpen
Kenshin Kawakami R $6.67 million
Stephen Marek $0.4 million
Michael Dunn L $0.5 million
Brandon Beachy R $0.5 million
Peter Moylan R arb. eligible ~$2.5 million
Johnny Venters L $0.5 million
Closer: Craig Kimbrel R $0.4 million
Free agents: Kyle Farnsworth, Takashi Saito ($3.2M), Billy Wagner ($7M)
Decline Arb: Eric O'Flaherty, Scott Proctor
Money spent: $77 million
Available Somewhere between $8-15 million
Here's what I'd do if I was in Frank Wren's shoes:
1. Sign Carl Crawford. Just do it. The Braves biggest need is a good defensive center fielder. It's likely he'll require 5 years at $15 per but I think he's worth it.
2. Trade for a left fielder. Packaging Mike Minor with Nate McLouth for a LF would probably allow the Braves to get someone like Matt Kemp or Andre Ethier from the Dodgers.
I know this is just a pipe dream but by doing this the Braves would shore up their outfield defense, add speed and power to a team that has neither, and really lose nothing at the major league level. The only left to do is to find another infielder who can play a mean shortstop. Adam Everett would be sweet and would likely only cost about $600,000.
Sunday, October 10, 2010
Not the BCS - Week 1
What up SportsTemps blog followers?!
It's been 6 months since ANY blog posts. Yes, I gave up on NASCAR blogging almost as quickly as I started it, but the real surprise is that Anderson hasn't found the time or need in so long.
So here's my Top 10 for NCAA Football. Last year I did a top 25 each week, but that became a bit complicated to justify. Trying to simplify my life and this post....
1. Oregon - They beat legitimate Stanford a few weeks back...Ohio State hasn't beaten anyone other than a shaky Miami.
2. Ohio State - see above
3. Boise State - Giving them some respect that is long overdue. If I'm not mistaken, QB Kellen Moore has only 1 INT on the season (and about 15 TDs).
4. TCU - Similar story to Boise State. Kind of curious to see if the upset bug hits Oregon and Ohio State, could we actually have a BCS title with 2 non-majors?!
5. Nebraska - Not if the Big Red can help it. I'm a fan, but I'm still not 100% sold on this team yet. Our QB runs like Nebraska QBs of past, and the defense is strong, but something still feels off.
6. Oklahoma - The remaining schedule doesn't look too bad at this point. Could be a Big XII Championship game vs. Nebraska to decide which team plays for BCS glory.
7. Auburn - Tigers have had a few scares, including this week's road victory over Kentucky. They do have the victory over the recently amazing South Carolina Gamecocks.
8. South Carolina - Only Auburn has beaten them, and Spurrier is looking to take his 2nd SEC team to a BCS game...possibly a 2nd NCAA Championship.
9. Alabama - Let's face it. They are still a quality football team. Conference play in the SEC often favors the home team, and if this week's game was in 'Bama and not South Carolina, they may still be #1.
10. LSU - Nobody is impressed with the other Tigers of the SEC, but they are still undefeated, so they deserve this spot...for now.
See you next week!
-MT
It's been 6 months since ANY blog posts. Yes, I gave up on NASCAR blogging almost as quickly as I started it, but the real surprise is that Anderson hasn't found the time or need in so long.
So here's my Top 10 for NCAA Football. Last year I did a top 25 each week, but that became a bit complicated to justify. Trying to simplify my life and this post....
1. Oregon - They beat legitimate Stanford a few weeks back...Ohio State hasn't beaten anyone other than a shaky Miami.
2. Ohio State - see above
3. Boise State - Giving them some respect that is long overdue. If I'm not mistaken, QB Kellen Moore has only 1 INT on the season (and about 15 TDs).
4. TCU - Similar story to Boise State. Kind of curious to see if the upset bug hits Oregon and Ohio State, could we actually have a BCS title with 2 non-majors?!
5. Nebraska - Not if the Big Red can help it. I'm a fan, but I'm still not 100% sold on this team yet. Our QB runs like Nebraska QBs of past, and the defense is strong, but something still feels off.
6. Oklahoma - The remaining schedule doesn't look too bad at this point. Could be a Big XII Championship game vs. Nebraska to decide which team plays for BCS glory.
7. Auburn - Tigers have had a few scares, including this week's road victory over Kentucky. They do have the victory over the recently amazing South Carolina Gamecocks.
8. South Carolina - Only Auburn has beaten them, and Spurrier is looking to take his 2nd SEC team to a BCS game...possibly a 2nd NCAA Championship.
9. Alabama - Let's face it. They are still a quality football team. Conference play in the SEC often favors the home team, and if this week's game was in 'Bama and not South Carolina, they may still be #1.
10. LSU - Nobody is impressed with the other Tigers of the SEC, but they are still undefeated, so they deserve this spot...for now.
See you next week!
-MT
Wednesday, April 21, 2010
2010 NFL Draft Rd 1
For the last couple of seasons I've joined the madness and created my own mock draft. It's fun but it also gets old looking and hearing about everyone else's mocks. Gladly we'll all know the results for the entire draft in just a few days.
- St. Louis - Sam Bradford QB - Oklahoma - His college career was great. His pro day was great. The only real concern here is his shoulder but his added bulk should reduce the likelihood of the injury reoccurring. Quarterback is the most important position on the field and with the release of Marc Bulger there's an opening.
- Detroit - Ndmamukong Suh DT - Nebraska - The Lions go for best talent available which works out because they need a makeover on the defensive line. Recent rumors have been speculating they could go tackle here but that's not going to happen.
- Tampa Bay - Gerald McCoy DT - Oklahoma - Possibly the worst team in the league last year, Tampa needs everything. McCoy would be the undisputed number one tackle in most draft's and some believe he is the best in this draft. Once selected he'll remind fans of Warren Sapp.
- Washington - Russell Okung OT - Oklahoma St. - Mike Shanahan wants to win now and he proved that was his intention by trading for QB Donovan McNabb. Okung is the pick to help shore up the weakest link on the offense.
- Kansas City - Brian Bulaga OT - Iowa - Kansas City likely wants to trade out of this spot but with such a deep draft I'm doubtful one occurs. Eric Berry is the best player available at this point but the Chiefs are desperate for help on the offensive line. Bulaga is a safe pick and can start from day one.
- Seattle - Trent Williams OT - Oklahoma - There are many who believe Williams is an elite talent but can he play left tackle (ask Sam Bradford how that worked out)? Seattle will attempt to find out as Walter Jones is going to retire.
- Cleveland - Eric Berry S - Tennessee - Cleveland fans should be ecstatic. With this selection Cleveland will have nearly completed the overhaul of their secondary this offeseason. Berry reminds many of Ed Reed and we all know how good he is.
- Oakland - Mike Iupati OG - Idaho - Al Davis has his own agenda. If Iupati is really #1 on their board look for the Raiders to try and trade back to #15 or so. I don't like projecting trades so Iupati's the pick at #8.
- Buffalo - Anthony Davis OT - Rutgers - I don't think Buffalo takes Jimmy Clausen because they are dead set on taking the best OT available. Davis has huge upside but also has some character issues. Buffalo's dealt with those before.
- Jacksonville - Jimmy Clausen QB - Notre Dame - Yes, Jacksonville has been saying all along they need a pass rush but they also need a franchise QB. David Garrard is nice and all but he's not a top 5 QB.
- Denver - Rolando McClain ILB - Alabama - Denver needs pieces for their 3-4 defense linebacker was clearly an issue last season. McClain is a tackling machine who excels in a 3-4.
- Miami - Derrick Morgan OLB - Georgia Tech - A week ago this pick was Dez Bryant but the Brandon Marshall trade temporarily alleviates that need. Instead look for Parcells to stick to his gut and draft defense with the first pick. Miami needs OLB to replace the departed Joey Porter and Jayson Taylor. There will be a transition period since Morgan was a DE in college but in a couple of years he'll be a good one.
- San Francisco - Joe Haden CB - Florida - SF's secondary was pretty bad last year. Nate Clements has apparently lost a step and a move to FS is possible. Joe Haden is clearly the best corner in the draft.
- Seattle - CJ Spiller RB - Clemson - Seattle's second draft pick is a doozy. Think Chris Johnson is good? Spiller is a similar runner with similar speed but will also make a huge impact on special teams.
- NY Giants - Earl Thomas S - Texas - The Giants really wanted a LB here but McClain is the only one worth a first round pick. Instead they go with the second best safety prospect. Thomas provides insurance for Kenny Phillips but also is a very good cover guy.
- Tennessee - Jason Pierre-Paul DE - South Florida - JPP is an athletic freak but only played one year of DI ball making him a project for NFL coaching. I'm not a believer but scouts love him and the Titans need more pass rush.
- San Francisco - Maurkice Pouncey C - The 49ers have several key pieces in place as they look to get back to the playoffs. Their interior line, though, is severely lacking. Pouncey may be the best interior lineman in the draft so the pick fits.
- Pittsburgh - Kyle Wilson CB - Boise St. - Pittsburgh missed the playoffs last season in large part to their poor passing defense. Wilson is a sound tackler and good defender who - with the return of Polamalu - will help solve this issue.
- Atlanta - Sean Weatherspoon OLB - Missouri - The Falcons linebackers are both aging and devoid of playmakers. Weatherspoon fits the scheme and will make big plays. Makes sense to me.
- Houston - Dan Williams DT - Tennessee - Williams can also play NT in a 3-4 but Houston has been looking for help on their defensive line. This huge space eater will help the run defense and can also help collapse the pocket when Peyton Manning comes to town.
- Cincinnati - Jermaine Gresham TE - Oklahoma - This pick makes a lot of sense and at the same time I have a hard time seeing it happening. Cincinnati almost never uses the tight end as a receiving option but the Bengals really struggled passing the ball last season. Gresham is a lot like Antonio Gates so I think the Bengals will find a way to incorporate him into the offense.
- New England - Jerry Hughes OLB - TCU - Hughes super quick off the line allowing him to excel in getting to the quarterback. The Pats biggest weakness last year was the pass rush.
- Green Bay - Bruce Campbell OT - Maryland - The latest draft buzz has the Packers selecting a running back here but they can find a good one in round two. Instead I think they'll address the tackle position so Aaron Rodgers isn't running for his life on half of his snaps.
- Philadelphia - Brandon Graham DE - Michigan - The Eagles look to add depth to their pass rush though the secondary is still an issue. Graham is valued as a top 15 pick for many but I can't picture him playing OLB for a 3-4 defense. The Eagles run a 4-3 so he'll fit in nicely.
- Baltimore - Jared Odrick DT - Penn St. - Baltimore's entire defense is getting up there in age so getting some premium talent in the draft seems important. Odrick could start for many teams from the get go but he'll get to intern behind Trevor Pryce for a year or so.
- Arizona - Sergio Kindle OLB - Texas - Arizona will look to improve their pass rush also as they already lost an OLB during free agency. Kindle showed in college he can get to the quarterback though there may be a transition period as he learns how to drop into coverage.
- Dallas - Dez Bryant WR - Oklahoma St. - Bryant is far and away the best WR in this draft. Miami and Denver seemed like possible destinations but the Dolphins recently acquired Brandon Marshall and I have the Broncos taking Rolando McClain in this mock. Several character issues don't help Bryant's case any. Jerry Jones doesn't care about that so he'll happily take Bryant to replace the oh-so-popular Roy Williams.
- San Diego - Ryan Mathews RB - Fresno St. - Tomlinson is gone and I'm not sure the Chargers believe Darren Sproles can be a featured back. Plus, he's a free agent at the end of the season. Mathews is tough and would be a good compliment to Sproles in San Diego's offense.
- NY Jets - Taylor Mays S - USC - Rex Ryan wants tough guys and Mays is just that. Sure he has his limitations in coverage but he's a big hitter and has cornerback speed.
- Minnesota - Kareem Jackson CB - Alabama - Minnesota lacks depth in the secondary and last year their performance was nothing to brag about. Jackson is a solid cover guy who fits well in the Cover-2 scheme.
- Indianapolis - Rodger Saffold OT - Indiana - Several mocks have the Colts going with Saffold here and I agree. Manning is a great player but even he needs a running game to be effective. Last year's line didn't allow that to happen which may be why the Colts weren't champions. Saffold is the fourth or fifth best tackle prospect so the Colts will snag him here instead of waiting a round to grab another.
- New Orleans - Brian Price DT - UCLA - The Saints go best player available here and get a nice talent at DT. Playing in the NFC South means going against several good running backs. Price is a good fit for a team needing help in this area.
Monday, April 12, 2010
NL Statues
With the official opening of the Twins new stadium in Minneapolis today, ESPN did their diligence in talking about all the neat features that will help to make it unique. Along the way they showed a statue of Rod Carew (in his batting stance) outside and mentioned why he was deserving of such an honor. This got me thinking about each team's statues and how they choose not only the player but the pose. Too often it seems the player is just standing with a bat. Why not depict the player in a way that causes fans to reminisce about the old days? Below I've done my best attempt to determine two statues for each team and the pose they should be framed in. Click on the link for each player to view my ideas.
Astros
Craig Biggio - Took the term "scrappy" to a whole new level. Biggio spent his entire career with Houston playing C, 2b, and CF. Is the all-time leader in most hit by pitches while also collecting more than 3000 base hits.
Jeff Bagwell - One of the great power hitters of his era but was also a sound base runner and good defender. Also had perhaps the most unique batting stance of anyone not named Craig Counsell.
Braves
Hank Aaron - The all time home run king for thirty years also ranks third all time in hits. The perfect pose is him hitting his 715th career homer.
Warren Spahn - The winningest lefty ever was famous for his high leg kick.
Brewers
Robin Yount - Here is his current statue. I think the standard t-ball pose is better because it portrays who Yount was: a quiet, modest player who showed up to work everyday. Won an MVP at two different positions and collected over 3000 hits while spending his entire career in Milwaukee.
Rollie Fingers - A lot of people may claim Paul Molitor should go here. Generally I agree--BUT Molitor is now most remembered for his brief stints with Toronto and Minnesota at the end of his career. I choose Fingers who won an MVP in Milwaukee in the early '80's and along with Yount can really rock a mustache.
Cardinals
Rogers Hornsby - A real difficult guy to get along with, Hornsby hit over .400 three times with power. His spot is in jeopardy as long as that Pujols guy stays in town.
Ozzie Smith - The Wizard is in my opinion the greatest defensive player of all time. Good to see the poeple in St. Louis got it right.
Cubs
Ernie Banks - Few people realize how good he was early in his career. Won two MVPs and hit 512 career home runs.
Sammy Sosa - Yeah, it's easy to make fun of him. But remember how beloved he was while he was hitting 60 home runs? The Sammy hop and his sprint to right field were his trademarks.
Diamondbacks
Randy Johnson & Curt Schilling - These two flamethrowers not only finished 1-2 in the N.L. Cy Young voting but shared World Series MVP honors.
Dodgers
Jackie Robinson - Seriously, how could it not be Jackie? While his legacy will live forever and he was a great player, I think this statue needs to be an action shot which is why I chose his steal of home in the 1955 World Series.
Sandy Koufax - I wanted to put Roy Campanella here but more people idolized Koufax. In this image you can see his knee graze the ground as he throws his trademark curveball.
Giants
Willie Mays - The "Say Hey Kid" hit 660 home runs in his career but may be best remembered for his catch in the 1954 World Series. Often referred to as the greatest catch of all time, that was really only half the play as he then spun and threw without looking to second to get a double play.
Barry Bonds - His performance from 1999-2001 is just ridiculous. Also went 40-40 once, won MVP Awards, and is the all time home run king.
Marlins
Jeff Conine - The only player to win both World Series with the Marlins. Also was the 1995 All-Star game MVP.
Hanley Ramirez - Ramirez is unquestionably the greatest Marlin ever. Too bad his teams are unquestionably mediocre.
Mets
Dwight Gooden - Even his drug and alcohol problems don't cloud the memory of 1985 when 20 year old Doc had one of the greatest seasons ever. He had a moment of brilliance late in his career with the Yankees when he threw a no-hitter. Everyone always rooted for him to succeed.
Mike Piazza - For all the knocks he took about his game, it's hard to argue against him being considered the greatest hitting catcher of all time. He had a unique batting stance but unlike the link I've posted, I think the Mets would prefer he wear a Met uniform in his statue.
Nationals/Expos
Tim Raines - The greatest base stealer of all time (quantity + efficiency) is also the greatest Expo of all time. He should be in Cooperstown but that's a whole other entry. Definitely should be depicted burning up the basepaths.
Gary Carter - One of the ten greatest catchers of all time, Carter was a blend of both power and defense. He is one of two players enshrined wearing an Expo cap (the other is Andre Dawson).
Padres
Tony Gwynn - Won eight batting titles and played his entire career in San Diego.
Trevor Hoffman - The all-time saves leader was never overpowering but managed to guile his way past hitters with an incredible changeup. His statue would be sure to feature his famous grip.
Phillies
Mike Schmidt - Hit 548 home runs, won ten gold gloves, and is the greatest third baseman of all time. His statue is perfect the way it is.
Steve Carlton - Tough not to go with Grover Cleveland Alexander here but Carlton is someone who has a greater legend. Won four Cy Youngs and in 1972 won 27 games for a Phillies team that only won 59.
Pirates
Honus Wagner - Wagner is one of the three greatest players ever. An excellent shortstop, baserunner, and hitter, he really took it to Ty Cobb when they faced each other in the 1909 World Series.
Bill Mazeroski - No, he's not the second greatest Pirate ever. But there might not be a greater aura surrounding any former Pirate. His homer to end the 1960 World Series remains one of the great moments in baseball history. He might be the greatest defensive second baseman of all time and his pivot on the double play was revolutionary.
Reds
Pete Rose - Charlie Hustle is the all-time hit king. Just because he's not eligible for the Hall of Fame doesn't mean he doesn't deserve a statue.
Johnny Bench - He might be the greatest defensive catcher of all time and is arguably the greatest all around catcher. Won two MVPs for the Big Red Machine.
Rockies
Larry Walker - Walker won three batting titles in Colorado as well as the 1996 N.L. MVP Award.
Troy Tulowitzki - This might be a stretch as Dante Bichette and Andres Galarraga are both going to be remembered as Rockie greats. Tulowitzki is just getting started and with his outstanding defense and 30 HR power he'll be around for a long time.
Later this week I'll do the American League.
Astros
Craig Biggio - Took the term "scrappy" to a whole new level. Biggio spent his entire career with Houston playing C, 2b, and CF. Is the all-time leader in most hit by pitches while also collecting more than 3000 base hits.
Jeff Bagwell - One of the great power hitters of his era but was also a sound base runner and good defender. Also had perhaps the most unique batting stance of anyone not named Craig Counsell.
Braves
Hank Aaron - The all time home run king for thirty years also ranks third all time in hits. The perfect pose is him hitting his 715th career homer.
Warren Spahn - The winningest lefty ever was famous for his high leg kick.
Brewers
Robin Yount - Here is his current statue. I think the standard t-ball pose is better because it portrays who Yount was: a quiet, modest player who showed up to work everyday. Won an MVP at two different positions and collected over 3000 hits while spending his entire career in Milwaukee.
Rollie Fingers - A lot of people may claim Paul Molitor should go here. Generally I agree--BUT Molitor is now most remembered for his brief stints with Toronto and Minnesota at the end of his career. I choose Fingers who won an MVP in Milwaukee in the early '80's and along with Yount can really rock a mustache.
Cardinals
Rogers Hornsby - A real difficult guy to get along with, Hornsby hit over .400 three times with power. His spot is in jeopardy as long as that Pujols guy stays in town.
Ozzie Smith - The Wizard is in my opinion the greatest defensive player of all time. Good to see the poeple in St. Louis got it right.
Cubs
Ernie Banks - Few people realize how good he was early in his career. Won two MVPs and hit 512 career home runs.
Sammy Sosa - Yeah, it's easy to make fun of him. But remember how beloved he was while he was hitting 60 home runs? The Sammy hop and his sprint to right field were his trademarks.
Diamondbacks
Randy Johnson & Curt Schilling - These two flamethrowers not only finished 1-2 in the N.L. Cy Young voting but shared World Series MVP honors.
Dodgers
Jackie Robinson - Seriously, how could it not be Jackie? While his legacy will live forever and he was a great player, I think this statue needs to be an action shot which is why I chose his steal of home in the 1955 World Series.
Sandy Koufax - I wanted to put Roy Campanella here but more people idolized Koufax. In this image you can see his knee graze the ground as he throws his trademark curveball.
Giants
Willie Mays - The "Say Hey Kid" hit 660 home runs in his career but may be best remembered for his catch in the 1954 World Series. Often referred to as the greatest catch of all time, that was really only half the play as he then spun and threw without looking to second to get a double play.
Barry Bonds - His performance from 1999-2001 is just ridiculous. Also went 40-40 once, won MVP Awards, and is the all time home run king.
Marlins
Jeff Conine - The only player to win both World Series with the Marlins. Also was the 1995 All-Star game MVP.
Hanley Ramirez - Ramirez is unquestionably the greatest Marlin ever. Too bad his teams are unquestionably mediocre.
Mets
Dwight Gooden - Even his drug and alcohol problems don't cloud the memory of 1985 when 20 year old Doc had one of the greatest seasons ever. He had a moment of brilliance late in his career with the Yankees when he threw a no-hitter. Everyone always rooted for him to succeed.
Mike Piazza - For all the knocks he took about his game, it's hard to argue against him being considered the greatest hitting catcher of all time. He had a unique batting stance but unlike the link I've posted, I think the Mets would prefer he wear a Met uniform in his statue.
Nationals/Expos
Tim Raines - The greatest base stealer of all time (quantity + efficiency) is also the greatest Expo of all time. He should be in Cooperstown but that's a whole other entry. Definitely should be depicted burning up the basepaths.
Gary Carter - One of the ten greatest catchers of all time, Carter was a blend of both power and defense. He is one of two players enshrined wearing an Expo cap (the other is Andre Dawson).
Padres
Tony Gwynn - Won eight batting titles and played his entire career in San Diego.
Trevor Hoffman - The all-time saves leader was never overpowering but managed to guile his way past hitters with an incredible changeup. His statue would be sure to feature his famous grip.
Phillies
Mike Schmidt - Hit 548 home runs, won ten gold gloves, and is the greatest third baseman of all time. His statue is perfect the way it is.
Steve Carlton - Tough not to go with Grover Cleveland Alexander here but Carlton is someone who has a greater legend. Won four Cy Youngs and in 1972 won 27 games for a Phillies team that only won 59.
Pirates
Honus Wagner - Wagner is one of the three greatest players ever. An excellent shortstop, baserunner, and hitter, he really took it to Ty Cobb when they faced each other in the 1909 World Series.
Bill Mazeroski - No, he's not the second greatest Pirate ever. But there might not be a greater aura surrounding any former Pirate. His homer to end the 1960 World Series remains one of the great moments in baseball history. He might be the greatest defensive second baseman of all time and his pivot on the double play was revolutionary.
Reds
Pete Rose - Charlie Hustle is the all-time hit king. Just because he's not eligible for the Hall of Fame doesn't mean he doesn't deserve a statue.
Johnny Bench - He might be the greatest defensive catcher of all time and is arguably the greatest all around catcher. Won two MVPs for the Big Red Machine.
Rockies
Larry Walker - Walker won three batting titles in Colorado as well as the 1996 N.L. MVP Award.
Troy Tulowitzki - This might be a stretch as Dante Bichette and Andres Galarraga are both going to be remembered as Rockie greats. Tulowitzki is just getting started and with his outstanding defense and 30 HR power he'll be around for a long time.
Later this week I'll do the American League.
Sunday, April 11, 2010
MLB Prospect Watch: Catcher
Last season the upper minors were full of potential stars that were nearly ready to take the next step and make their mark in the majors. Andrew McCutcheon is now the headliner of that group though other Colby Rasmus and Dexter Fowler found themselves starting for playoff teams.
So which position is due to see the next large influx of talent? It's got to be catcher. When one sees Jason Kendall getting starts everyday in Kansas City and read that Brad Ausmus is miraculously still employed, it's easy to wonder where all the catching talent has been for the past decade. Well, it's coming.
Carlos Santana - This switch hitting catcher is Cleveland's number one prospect and a top five prospect in all of baseball. He looks like he will develop into being a middle of the order hitter with good power and patience (much like Victor Martinez but better). His defense, though not bad, could still use some fine tuning which is why Cleveland assigned him to AAA to begin the season.
Prediction for permanent call-up: He'll likely be up by September and will be the starter from there on out.
Buster Posey - I don't know what the Giants are thinking. Posey will never have the power that Santana possesses but his on-base skills are especially unique for a catcher. He would not be miscast as a top of the lineup hitter and if he were allowed to start on the big league club this season instead of Benji Molina, he'd be one of San Francisco's three best hitters. Alas, Brian Sabean says he needs to work on his "game calling" which most people agree is either overrated or is something he should learn in the majors with the pitchers he'll be working with for years to come.
Prediction for permanent call-up: June 2010
Jesus Montero - Perhaps the only player in all the minor leagues who can claim to have bigger power than Montero is Florida's Michael Stanton. His on-base skills also appear to be very good meaning he will be an offensive force once called up to the big leagues. The knock on Montero is his defense. He has no range and some scouts have said he needs to work on his throwing though he does have a strong arm. These things are exacerbated by the fact that he's big-very big- for a catcher (6'4" 225lbs) which leads many scouts to believe he'll be a first baseman or DH. Jorge Posada won't block him though as he's nearing the end of his career and his defense might actually be worse than Montero's at this point.
Prediction for permanent call-up: This is a tricky one with Teixeira entrenched at first for the next seven years and Posada not ready to hang 'em up yet. I think he'll at least split time at catcher and DH on Opening day of 2011.
Wilson Ramos - Ramos has the unfortunate circumstance of being blocked by not only the best catcher in baseball but likely on of the greatest of all time. He's got a cannon arm and a minor league career line of .293/.342/.434. A player with these skills is an asset to any team who doesn't have Joe Mauer. Ramos should continue his steady ascent through the minors as long as he's able to stay healthy. Minnesota assigned him to AAA Rochester to begin the season.
Prediction for permanent call-up: Expect the Twins to trade Ramos at some point before the 2011 season. Where he lands will provide a better idea of when he will be called up.
Tyler Flowers: Flowers is another big catcher whose size once caused scouts to believe he had no future behind the plate. That changed last year as he proved he was more than capable of blocking the plate although he only threw out 29% of attempted base stealers. He could be a poor man's version of Montero with not quite as much power but still possessing a good eye at the plate. The White Sox probably think he's ready but want him to start every day justifying their decision to send him to AAA Charlotte to start the season. Though he'll never be an MVP candidate, he could make a few all-star teams and hit 20-25 home runs each year. That's quite a projection for someone who's considered the fifth best catching prospect.
Prediction for permanent call-up: Opening day 2011 as the White Sox starting catcher.
Hank Conger - Conger is another switch hitting catcher who has displayed good power in the minors. It also appears that he is making great improvements in pitch recognition as he more than doubled his walk rate in his promotion to AA last year. His defense, however, may be his limiting factor. Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus implied that it's bad enough to prevent him from ever becoming a starter. He's also "blessed" with Benji Molina speed.
Prediction for permanent call-up: This depends with what the Angels want to do with their two-headed monster of Jeff Mathis and Mike Napoli. He will be ready in 2011 to stay in the bigs.
Jason Castro - Castro is another player whose defensive liabilities have many scouts questioning whether or not he'll be able to stay behind the plate. Keith Law believes he has the skills to stay where he is. His offense is solid but he has no spectacular facet to his game. Of all the players on this list he has the lowest ceiling but after Santana and Montero is also the most likely to be a consistent major leaguer.
Prediction for permanent call-up: Houston has no excuse for keeping him in the minors in 2011. Expect a September cup of coffee and a permanent job starting Opening Day 2011.
This is an impressive list of talent that should be starting to break through as soon as this summer. Also consider the fact that Brian McCann (26), Jesus Flores (25), Kurt Suzuki (26), and Matt Wieters (24) are still not yet into the prime of their careers and it's easy to see why this position could be loaded for a long time.
So which position is due to see the next large influx of talent? It's got to be catcher. When one sees Jason Kendall getting starts everyday in Kansas City and read that Brad Ausmus is miraculously still employed, it's easy to wonder where all the catching talent has been for the past decade. Well, it's coming.
Carlos Santana - This switch hitting catcher is Cleveland's number one prospect and a top five prospect in all of baseball. He looks like he will develop into being a middle of the order hitter with good power and patience (much like Victor Martinez but better). His defense, though not bad, could still use some fine tuning which is why Cleveland assigned him to AAA to begin the season.
Prediction for permanent call-up: He'll likely be up by September and will be the starter from there on out.
Buster Posey - I don't know what the Giants are thinking. Posey will never have the power that Santana possesses but his on-base skills are especially unique for a catcher. He would not be miscast as a top of the lineup hitter and if he were allowed to start on the big league club this season instead of Benji Molina, he'd be one of San Francisco's three best hitters. Alas, Brian Sabean says he needs to work on his "game calling" which most people agree is either overrated or is something he should learn in the majors with the pitchers he'll be working with for years to come.
Prediction for permanent call-up: June 2010
Jesus Montero - Perhaps the only player in all the minor leagues who can claim to have bigger power than Montero is Florida's Michael Stanton. His on-base skills also appear to be very good meaning he will be an offensive force once called up to the big leagues. The knock on Montero is his defense. He has no range and some scouts have said he needs to work on his throwing though he does have a strong arm. These things are exacerbated by the fact that he's big-very big- for a catcher (6'4" 225lbs) which leads many scouts to believe he'll be a first baseman or DH. Jorge Posada won't block him though as he's nearing the end of his career and his defense might actually be worse than Montero's at this point.
Prediction for permanent call-up: This is a tricky one with Teixeira entrenched at first for the next seven years and Posada not ready to hang 'em up yet. I think he'll at least split time at catcher and DH on Opening day of 2011.
Wilson Ramos - Ramos has the unfortunate circumstance of being blocked by not only the best catcher in baseball but likely on of the greatest of all time. He's got a cannon arm and a minor league career line of .293/.342/.434. A player with these skills is an asset to any team who doesn't have Joe Mauer. Ramos should continue his steady ascent through the minors as long as he's able to stay healthy. Minnesota assigned him to AAA Rochester to begin the season.
Prediction for permanent call-up: Expect the Twins to trade Ramos at some point before the 2011 season. Where he lands will provide a better idea of when he will be called up.
Tyler Flowers: Flowers is another big catcher whose size once caused scouts to believe he had no future behind the plate. That changed last year as he proved he was more than capable of blocking the plate although he only threw out 29% of attempted base stealers. He could be a poor man's version of Montero with not quite as much power but still possessing a good eye at the plate. The White Sox probably think he's ready but want him to start every day justifying their decision to send him to AAA Charlotte to start the season. Though he'll never be an MVP candidate, he could make a few all-star teams and hit 20-25 home runs each year. That's quite a projection for someone who's considered the fifth best catching prospect.
Prediction for permanent call-up: Opening day 2011 as the White Sox starting catcher.
Hank Conger - Conger is another switch hitting catcher who has displayed good power in the minors. It also appears that he is making great improvements in pitch recognition as he more than doubled his walk rate in his promotion to AA last year. His defense, however, may be his limiting factor. Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus implied that it's bad enough to prevent him from ever becoming a starter. He's also "blessed" with Benji Molina speed.
Prediction for permanent call-up: This depends with what the Angels want to do with their two-headed monster of Jeff Mathis and Mike Napoli. He will be ready in 2011 to stay in the bigs.
Jason Castro - Castro is another player whose defensive liabilities have many scouts questioning whether or not he'll be able to stay behind the plate. Keith Law believes he has the skills to stay where he is. His offense is solid but he has no spectacular facet to his game. Of all the players on this list he has the lowest ceiling but after Santana and Montero is also the most likely to be a consistent major leaguer.
Prediction for permanent call-up: Houston has no excuse for keeping him in the minors in 2011. Expect a September cup of coffee and a permanent job starting Opening Day 2011.
This is an impressive list of talent that should be starting to break through as soon as this summer. Also consider the fact that Brian McCann (26), Jesus Flores (25), Kurt Suzuki (26), and Matt Wieters (24) are still not yet into the prime of their careers and it's easy to see why this position could be loaded for a long time.
Monday, April 5, 2010
2010 MLB predictions
Despite my best efforts, I was unable to complete a team capsule for each team prior to the start of the season. I'll continue to do team capsules when I have time although they will be abbreviated versions now that the season is upon us. Instead of waiting until mid May for my predictions, I'll give them now.
Division winners:
AL East - Yankees
AL Central - Twins
AL West - Rangers
Wild Card - Rays
NL East - Phillies
NL Central - Cardinals
NL West - Rockies
Wild Card - Braves
World Series - Yankees over Rockies
AL MVP - Mark Teixeira. Runners up: Evan Longoria, Grady Sizemore, Joe Mauer, Alex Rodriguez
NL MVP - Albert Pujols. Runners up: Chase Utley, Hanley Ramirez, David Wright, Matt Holliday
AL Cy Young - Felix Hernandez. Runners up: CC Sabathia, Jon Lester, Justin Verlander
NL Cy Young - Roy Halladay. Runners up: Tim Lincecum, Dan Haren, Johan Santana
AL Top Rookies - Brian Matusz, Scott Sizemore, Carlos Santana
NL Top Rookies - Jason Heyward, Stephen Strasburg, Alcides Escobar
AL Breakout Player - Adam Jones
NL Breakout Player - Colby Rasmus
AL Breakout Pitcher - Gavin Floyd or Rick Porcello
NL Breakout Pitcher - Mat Latos
Division winners:
AL East - Yankees
AL Central - Twins
AL West - Rangers
Wild Card - Rays
NL East - Phillies
NL Central - Cardinals
NL West - Rockies
Wild Card - Braves
World Series - Yankees over Rockies
AL MVP - Mark Teixeira. Runners up: Evan Longoria, Grady Sizemore, Joe Mauer, Alex Rodriguez
NL MVP - Albert Pujols. Runners up: Chase Utley, Hanley Ramirez, David Wright, Matt Holliday
AL Cy Young - Felix Hernandez. Runners up: CC Sabathia, Jon Lester, Justin Verlander
NL Cy Young - Roy Halladay. Runners up: Tim Lincecum, Dan Haren, Johan Santana
AL Top Rookies - Brian Matusz, Scott Sizemore, Carlos Santana
NL Top Rookies - Jason Heyward, Stephen Strasburg, Alcides Escobar
AL Breakout Player - Adam Jones
NL Breakout Player - Colby Rasmus
AL Breakout Pitcher - Gavin Floyd or Rick Porcello
NL Breakout Pitcher - Mat Latos
Tuesday, March 30, 2010
2010 Florida Marlins team preview
2009 Record: 87-75 .537
Run Differential: +6
Widely considered to be one of the worst teams in baseball entering the season, Florida gave everyone a great big #@$ burger to eat. No, they didn't make the playoffs but they were very close. Hanley Ramirez continued to add to his legend by winning the batting title, rookie Chris Coughlan surprised everyone by winning Rookie of the Year award, and Josh Johnson proved he is one of the league's best pitchers. Realistically this team should not have had post season aspirations but Fredi Gonzalez some how skippered this team to exceeding all projections. I say somehow because any team that bats a guy like Bonifacion leadoff should be punished (ask Dusty Baker how his Willy Taveras/Corey Patterson experiments have fared). Perhaps the real surprise here is how a team with such a low payroll can continue to exceed these expectations.
With little roster turnover what should the expectations be for this squad in 2010?
With little roster turnover what should the expectations be for this squad in 2010?
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